Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.001007 0.001148 0.001290 0.001443 0.001601 0.001761 0.001934
2026-01-11 0.000786 0.000989 0.001199 0.001432 0.001679 0.001933 0.002212
2026-01-18 0.000613 0.000859 0.001124 0.001423 0.001748 0.002086 0.002463
2026-01-25 0.000436 0.000707 0.001009 0.001361 0.001750 0.002162 0.002626
2026-02-01 0.000314 0.000601 0.000936 0.001336 0.001787 0.002270 0.002819
2026-02-08 0.000229 0.000528 0.000893 0.001339 0.001850 0.002402 0.003033
2026-02-15 0.000165 0.000471 0.000864 0.001353 0.001921 0.002540 0.003253
2026-02-22 0.000118 0.000429 0.000847 0.001379 0.002002 0.002687 0.003479
2026-03-01 0.000068 0.000369 0.000803 0.001369 0.002040 0.002783 0.003647
2026-03-08 0.000025 0.000302 0.000743 0.001336 0.002048 0.002844 0.003773
2026-03-15 0.000006 0.000267 0.000722 0.001346 0.002106 0.002957 0.003957
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000224 0.000685 0.001336 0.002136 0.003039 0.004103
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000177 0.000651 0.001342 0.002203 0.003183 0.004343
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000128 0.000603 0.001330 0.002250 0.003305 0.004560
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000086 0.000560 0.001320 0.002299 0.003430 0.004781
2026-04-19 NaN 0.000037 0.000483 0.001259 0.002281 0.003476 0.004913
2026-04-26 NaN 0.000012 0.000435 0.001235 0.002308 0.003572 0.005099
2026-05-03 NaN 0.000001 0.000408 0.001237 0.002366 0.003704 0.005325
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.000389 0.001251 0.002437 0.003850 0.005566
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.000379 0.001276 0.002521 0.004010 0.005823
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.000348 0.001266 0.002560 0.004114 0.006014
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.000305 0.001233 0.002567 0.004181 0.006160
2026-06-07 NaN NaN 0.000290 0.001244 0.002629 0.004312 0.006380